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双语新闻:欧元区第三季度经济增长低于预期,欧洲政策中心专家认为可能会出现技术性衰退

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2023年11月11日

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Preliminary data released by Eurostat recently showed that the eurozone economy grew less than expected in the third quarter, with gross domestic product contracting on a quarter-on-quarter basis. European Policy Center experts believe that the eurozone economy may be in a technical recession, until the middle of next year is likely to achieve a weak rebound.

欧盟统计局日前公布的初步数据显示,欧元区第三季度经济增长低于预期,国内生产总值环比萎缩。欧洲政策中心专家认为,欧元区经济可能会出现技术性衰退,要等到明年中期才有可能实现微弱反弹。


Data released by Eurostat show that in the third quarter of this year, eurozone gross domestic product fell 0.1% quarter-on-quarter compared with the second quarter of this year, and increased 0.1% year-on-year, while in the second quarter of this year, eurozone gross domestic product increased 0.2% quarter-on-quarter compared with the first quarter of this year, and increased 0.5% year-on-year.

欧盟统计局公布的数据显示,今年第三季度,欧元区国内生产总值较今年第二季度环比下降了0.1%,较去年同期同比增长了0.1%,而在今年第二季度,欧元区国内生产总值较今年第一季度环比增长了0.2%,较去年同期同比增长了0.5%。


After the second quarter data, ECB officials had argued that Europe had achieved a "soft landing", but the third quarter data showed some optimism, with eurozone gross domestic product falling after a weak rise. According to European policy analysts, this shows that the eurozone economy is struggling between contraction and growth, and the growth prospects are dim.

第二季度数据出炉之后,欧洲央行官员一度认为欧洲经济已经实现“软着陆”,但第三季度数据表明这一观点有些乐观,欧元区国内生产总值在微弱上升之后又出现下降。欧洲政策分析师认为,这其实显示出了欧元区经济在萎缩与增长之间的苦苦挣扎,增长前景暗淡。


Philipp Rausberg, Policy analyst, European Policy Center: The eurozone economy is in a difficult situation, the fourth quarter will not change much, the GDP may decline, as in the third quarter, negative 0.2% or negative 0.1% growth, it may be zero growth, which may lead to a technical recession.

欧洲政策中心政策分析师 菲利普·劳斯贝格:欧元区经济目前处境困难,第四季度不会有很大的变化,国内生产总值有可能会下降,就像三季度一样,出现负0.2%或负0.1%的增长,也可能是零增长,这可能会导致技术性衰退。


A few days ago, the French "Les Echos" said in a report entitled "the eurozone will usher in a difficult end to the year" that various indicators indicate that in the next few months, the best case scenario for the eurozone is zero growth, and it will be difficult to achieve an economic rebound in 2024. Rausberg also said that with the arrival of winter, affected by high energy prices and other factors, the decline in eurozone inflation may slow down, and it is expected that the eurozone economy will not achieve a weak rebound until the middle of next year.

日前,法国《回声报》在题为“欧元区将迎来艰难年底”的报道中称,各项指标表明,未来几个月,欧元区最好的情况是零增长,2024年实现经济反弹也将是艰难的。劳斯贝格也表示,随着冬天的来临,受高能源价格等因素的影响,欧元区通胀下降进程可能会放缓,预计要到明年中期欧元区经济才能实现微弱反弹。



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