刘文勇GRE写作Argument题库 Day 66

Day 66 For many years all the stores in our chain have stocked a wide variety of both domestic and imported cheeses

The following appeared in a memo from the owner of a chain of cheese stores located throughout the United States.

“For many years all the stores in our chain have stocked a wide variety of both domestic and imported cheeses. Last year, however, all of the five best-selling cheeses at our newest store were domestic cheddar cheeses from Wisconsin. Furthermore, a recent survey by Cheeses of the World magazine indicates an increasing preference for domestic cheeses among its subscribers. Since our company can reduce expenses by limiting inventory, the best way to improve profits in all of our stores is to discontinue stocking many of our varieties of imported cheese and concentrate primarily on domestic cheeses.”

Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.

五问：

（1）“the best way to improve profits in all of our stores is to discontinue stocking many of our varieties of imported cheese and concentrate primarily on domestic cheeses”是结论，其余部分是事实，值得反驳吗？

（2）去年的情况和今年一定类似吗？明年一定能够延续今年的趋势吗？请大家回顾一下基础知识：为什么我们会认为时间轴论证是一种错误的论述方法。

（3）在最新的商铺中卖得最好的 cheeses来自国内，就意味着所有商店的情况都是如此吗？个体和集体的特质是否可能并不一致？例如：这家新店是开设在经济水平比较低的地方，人们买不起进口的 cheeses，又或者这个地区的人比较偏爱国产 cheeses的口味。

（4）Cheeses of the World杂志所做的调查可信吗？对于全球读者来说，国内 cheeses更好，是否就意味着对于商店来说也是如此？（何况两个“国内”并非同一个意思。）参加该项调查的人中有多少是商店的顾客呢？该调查是在哪个地区进行的呢？被调查的区域有这家连锁的店铺吗？

（5）即便以上的论述真的有道理，我们能否简单地认为减少进口 cheeses的种类，主营国产 cheeses会提高利润？这个策略是否可能产生其他负面的影响？例如：会损失喜爱进口 cheeses的顾客，进口种类减少会导致市场竞争力下降。提高利润是否可能有其他方法？能简单地认定文中所说的就是最好的方法吗？除了降低存货成本之外，还可以通过降低采购成本、提高经营效率等方式提高利润。