刘文勇GRE写作Argument题库 Day 145

Day 145 Most homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating

The following appeared in a memo to the board of directors of a company that specializes in the delivery of heating oil.

“Most homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last heating season, that region experienced 90 days with below-normal temperatures, and climate forecasters predict that this weather pattern will continue for several more years. Furthermore, many new homes are being built in the region in response to recent population growth. Because of these trends, we can safely predict that this region will experience an increased demand for heating oil during the next five years.”

Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.

【本题与Day 60相似，不同之处：（1）最后一句中的“we can safely predict that this region will experience an increased demand for heating oil during the next five years”是结论。（2）本题还可以反驳：文中是否给出充足论据来证明接下来的五年对油料的需求都会增加？五年之内情况不会有变化吗？】

五问：

其他可参考Day 60的思考路径