刘文勇GRE写作Argument题库 Day 175

Day 175 In an effort to bring new jobs to Dillton and stimulate the city's flagging economy, Dillton's city council voted last year to lower the city's corporate tax rate by 15 percent

The following appeared as part of an article in a Dillton newspaper.

“In an effort to bring new jobs to Dillton and stimulate the city's flagging economy, Dillton's city council voted last year to lower the city's corporate tax rate by 15 percent; at the same time, the city began offering generous relocation grants to any company that would move to Dillton. Since these changes went into effect, two new factories have opened in Dillton. Although the two factories employ more than 1,000 people, the unemployment rate in Dillton remains unchanged. The only clear explanation for this is that the new factories are staffed with out-of-town workers rather than Dillton residents.”

Write a response in which you discuss one or more alternative explanations that could rival the proposed explanation and explain how your explanation(s) can plausibly account for the facts presented in the argument.

五问：

（1）最后一句“The only clear explanation for this is that the new factories are staffed with out-of-town workers rather than Dillton residents”是结论，其余部分是事实，值得反驳吗？

（2）首先要注意，文中给出了一个推断，认为这两家工厂的设立都是由一项减税补贴的政策带来的，你认为决定一家工厂设立的要素有哪些？除了文中所提及的税率和补贴之外，当地的人口、经济、政治、文化状况是否也很有可能会影响工厂的设立？

（3）文中是否提供了这个城市劳动人口的总数？如果没有，我们能否简单地认为 1 000个新增的工作岗位一定没有影响失业率？也许自去年以来人口数量增加了。

（4）原文中是否提及了关于 Dillton经济状况的指标（那些可能影响失业率的指标）？假设老旧的经济体衰退使企业倒闭，导致 1 000人失去工作，而这 1 000人恰好在新的工厂找到了工作，因此尽管失业率没有产生变化，依然可以证明这个政策是卓有成效的。

（5）Dillton经济衰退，是否有其他企业通过裁员来降低运营成本？即使新工厂为 1 000人提供了工作岗位，但因为其他企业裁员 1 000人，那失业率也是保持不变的。