双语新闻：国际货币基金组织上调对中国今明两年经济增速的预期

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised its forecast for China's economic growth this year and next, while also focusing on the country's progress towards high-quality development. Behind these remarks, international institutions are optimistic about the continued recovery of the Chinese economy.

国际货币基金组织（IMF）日前上调了对中国今明两年经济增速的预期，与此同时，也关注到中国迈向高质量发展的进展。相关表态背后，释放出国际机构看好中国经济持续回升向好的积极信号。

The third quarter is a critical period for achieving the annual economic and social development goals. Since July, the growth of some economic indicators in China has slowed down due to multiple factors such as the complicated international situation, the hot weather in China and the severe floods in some regions. As a series of policy measures to promote economic recovery continue to take effect, China's gross domestic product (GDP) growth reached 5.2 percent in the first three quarters of this year, laying a solid foundation for achieving the annual target of around 5 percent.

三季度是完成全年经济社会发展目标的关键期。7月份以来，受国际复杂局势、国内高温天气和部分地区严重洪涝灾害等多重因素影响，中国部分经济指标增速有所放缓。随着一系列促进经济恢复发展的政策措施不断显效，今年前三季度，中国国内生产总值（GDP）增速仍达到5.2%，为实现全年5%左右的预期目标奠定了坚实基础。

The IMF raised its forecast for China's GDP growth in 2023 to 5.4 percent from its previous estimate of 5 percent, as well as its forecast for 2024. In this regard, IMF First Deputy Managing Director Geeta Gopinath said that the reason for the growth rate is due to China's stronger-than-expected economic growth in the third quarter and China's recent series of policy measures. "China's economy is on track to meet its 2023 growth target, reflecting the strong post-COVID-19 recovery," she said.

IMF将中国2023年GDP增长预期从之前的5%上调至5.4%，也同时将2024年GDP增长预期上调。对此，IMF第一副总裁吉塔·戈皮纳特表示，增速上调的原因是由于三季度中国经济增速强于预期以及中国近期采取了一系列政策措施。她说，“中国经济有望实现2023年的增长目标，反映出新冠疫情后的强劲复苏。”

The IMF noted that China has introduced a series of policy measures to support the real estate market, and announced in October to issue an additional 1 trillion yuan of government bonds to support post-disaster recovery and reconstruction and improve disaster prevention and relief capabilities, which became its optimistic policy support for China's economy. "We don't think there will be deflation in China," Mr. Gopinath added. "Inflation in China is still within a reasonable range."

IMF注意到中国出台了一系列支持房地产市场的政策措施，并于10月宣布增发1万亿元国债支持灾后恢复重建和提升防灾减灾救灾能力，这些成为其看好中国经济的政策支持。戈皮纳特还表示，“我们认为中国不会出现通货紧缩的情况，目前中国的通货膨胀仍然处于合理范围。”

It is worth noting that the IMF mentioned the high-quality development of China's economy. Gopinath said China is working on multiple fronts for high-quality, sustainable and inclusive growth.

值得关注的是，IMF提及了中国经济高质量发展情况。戈皮纳特说，中国正在为高质量、可持续且有包容性的增长进行多方面努力。

In the first three quarters of this year, investment in China's high-tech industries grew by 11.4% year-on-year. The export value of the "new three" products of electric manned vehicles, lithium batteries and solar cells increased by 41.7% year-on-year. The growth rate of manufacturing investment was 3.1 percentage points higher than that of all fixed asset investment. The new installed capacity of renewable energy in the country was 172 million kilowatts, an increase of 93% year-on-year, accounting for 76% of the new installed capacity. Scientific and technological innovation has gained momentum, the industrial structure has continued to improve, low-carbon transformation has moved forward "green", and high-quality economic development has made positive progress.

前三季度，中国高技术产业投资同比增长11.4%；电动载人汽车、锂电池、太阳能电池“新三样”产品出口值同比增长41.7%，制造业投资增速高于全部固定资产投资3.1个百分点；全国可再生能源新增装机1.72亿千瓦，同比增长93%，占新增装机的76%……科技创新积蓄动能，产业结构持续优化，低碳转型逐“绿”前行，经济高质量发展取得积极进展。

Zhang Yuxian, director of the Economic forecasting Department of the State Information Center, believes that the power of economic recovery, the driving force of economic forward, and the potential of high-quality economic development form a "superposition", and the trend of accelerating the recovery of China's economy is more obvious.

国家信息中心经济预测部主任张宇贤认为，经济恢复的助力、经济前行的动力、经济高质量发展的潜力形成“叠加”，中国经济加快恢复的态势更加明显。

In the long run, industry experts believe that China's economy has strong potential and resilience, the long-term fundamentals of China's economy have not changed, and the momentum of high-quality development will be stronger.

从长期看，业内专家认为，中国经济具有强大的潜力和韧性，中国经济长期向好的基本面没有改变，高质量发展的动能将更加强劲。

At the annual meeting of the 2023 Financial Street Forum held in Beijing recently, Gu Shu, chairman of the Agricultural Bank of China, said that the resilience of the Chinese economy mainly comes from the "core" of the super-large-scale market, the "base" of the modern industrial system and the "engine" driven by innovation.

在日前北京举行的2023金融街论坛年会上，中国农业银行董事长谷澍谈到，中国经济的韧性主要来自超大规模的市场“内核”、现代化的产业体系“底座”及创新驱动的“引擎”。

"China has a complete industrial system, complete infrastructure, rich human resources and huge market space." Xiao Song, executive vice president of Siemens Worldwide, said that China's supply chain system has great resilience and potential, and a stable and efficient supply chain system plays an important supporting role in Siemens' global business development.

“中国拥有齐全的产业体系、完备的基础设施、丰富的人才资源和巨大的市场空间。”西门子全球执行副总裁肖松表示，中国供应链体系具有巨大的韧性和潜力，稳定高效的供应链体系对西门子全球业务发展起着重要支撑作用。

The Chinese people have a wide range of consumption space and great potential to meet the needs of housing, medical care, education, elderly care, childcare and other fields, which can unleash huge consumption potential. At the same time, the supply of high-quality goods and services has many gaps and great potential, and there is more potential space in the construction of urban underground integrated pipe network, building energy saving and low-carbon transformation, industrial green digital transformation, biomedicine and other fields.

中国居民消费空间广、潜力大，满足住房、医疗、教育、养老、育幼等领域需求，能够释放巨大的消费潜能。同时，优质商品和服务供给缺口多、潜力大，在城市地下综合管网建设、建筑节能低碳改造、产业绿色化数字化转型、生物医药等领域，有较多的潜力空间。

Gopinath believes that China's high-quality growth includes a green economy and a shift from an investment-driven growth model to a consumption-driven growth model. In the future, extensive market-based structural reforms will help boost productivity, promote rebalancing, and stimulate new growth drivers, which will help economic growth.

戈皮纳特认为，中国高质量的增长包括绿色经济以及从投资驱动的增长模式转向消费驱动的增长模式。未来，广泛的市场化结构性改革将有助于提高生产率、促进再平衡、激发新的增长动力，对经济增长有所帮助。

Zheng Zhajie, director of the National Development and Reform Commission, said in an interview with Xinhua News Agency that in the next step, China will focus on strengthening the weak board and forging the long board, deeply implement the innovation-driven development strategy, continue to carry out key core technology research, consolidate the leading position of traditional advantageous industries, actively cultivate emerging industries and future industries to build new engines for development, and constantly open up new areas and new tracks for development. We will create new drivers and advantages for development.

国家发展改革委主任郑栅洁日前接受新华社记者采访时说，下一步中国将着力补短板、锻长板，深入实施创新驱动发展战略，持续开展关键核心技术攻关，巩固传统优势产业领先地位，积极培育新兴产业和未来产业打造发展新引擎，不断开辟发展新领域新赛道，塑造发展新动能新优势。