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日本一季度国内生产总值收缩1.3%

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2021年05月18日

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Japan's economy contracted 1.3 percent in the three months to March after the government reimposed virus restrictions in major cities as infections surged, data showed on Tuesday.

周二公布的数据显示,由于感染人数激增,日本政府在主要城市重新限制病毒传播,日本经济在截至3月份的三个月中收缩了1.3% 。

The quarter-on-quarter fall came after the world's third-largest economy grew for two quarters to December, but the expansion was stopped in its tracks by a winter increase in coronavirus cases.

在这个世界第三大经济体截至去年12月的两个季度增长之后,该季度环比出现下降,但由于冬季冠状病毒病例的增加,这一增长势头受阻。


图源:法新社

The government imposed new virus states of emergency in January in response, urging people to stay at home and calling for restaurants to close earlier.

作为回应,政府在一月份实施了新的病毒紧急状态,敦促人们呆在家里,并呼吁餐馆早点关门。

The measures slowed consumption, hitting growth despite the relative strength of the manufacturing sector.

尽管制造业相对强劲,但这些措施减缓了消费,影响了经济增长。

The 1.3 percent contraction was largely in line with economist expectations.

1.3%的收缩率基本符合经济学家的预期。

"Personal consumption has been particularly hard hit by the COVID-19 emergency measures," Naoya Oshikubo, senior economist at SuMi TRUST, said in an analysis issued before the release of the official data.

“COVID-19应急措施对个人消费的冲击特别严重。”SuMi TRUST的高级经济学家直久保奈央(Naoya Oshikubo)在官方数据发布前发布的分析中表示。

"On a positive note, private capital investment is expected to continue to pick up as the manufacturing industry as a whole remains strong," Oshikubo said.

直久保奈央说:“从积极的角度看,由于整个制造业依然强劲,民间资本投资有望继续回升。”

Economists warn that the slowdown is likely to continue, with the government forced to impose a third state of emergency in several parts of the country — including economic engines Tokyo and Osaka — earlier this month.

经济学家警告称,本月初政府被迫在该国几个地区(包括东京和大阪的经济引擎)强加第三种紧急状态,这种放缓可能会持续下去。

The emergency measures are tougher than in the past, and have been extended to the end of May and expanded to several other regions in recent days.

这次紧急措施比过去更为严厉,已延长至5月底,并在最近几天扩大到其他几个地区。

Further complicating the growth picture is Japan's comparatively slow vaccine rollout, said Marcel Thieliant, senior Japan economist at Capital Economics.

Capital Economics日本高级经济师马塞尔·泰利安(Marcel Thieliant)表示,日本的疫苗推出速度相对较慢,这使增长前景进一步复杂化。

"With the medical situation still worsening and the vaccine rollout too slow, it will take until the end of the year for output to return to pre-virus levels," he said in a note.

他在一份报告中说:“由于医疗状况仍在恶化,疫苗的推出太慢,要到今年年底,产量才能恢复到疫情前水平。”


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