IMF下调今年全球增长预期

The International Monetary Fund has projected the world economy will grow by 5.9% this year, while China's growth will moderate to 8%, both 0.1 of a percentage point lower than the IMF's July estimates.

国际货币基金组织(IMF)10月12日发布最新一期《世界经济展望报告》，预计2021年全球经济增长率为5.9%，较7月份预测值下调0.1个百分点。同时，IMF预计中国经济今年将增长8%，也较7月份预测值下调0.1个百分点。

"The downward revision for 2021 reflects a downgrade for advanced economies - in part due to supply disruptions - and for low-income developing countries, largely due to worsening pandemic dynamics," the IMF said in its latest World Economic Outlook released on Tuesday.

报告指出，下调今年全球经济增长预期，主要反映了发达经济体在供应链中断影响下增长放缓，以及低收入发展中经济体因疫情形势恶化导致经济增幅收窄。

Fueled by the highly transmissible Delta variant, the recorded global COVID-19 death toll has risen close to 5 million, and health risks abound, holding back a full return to normalcy, IMF Economic Counsellor Gita Gopinath said.

IMF首席经济学家吉塔·戈皮纳特表示，德尔塔毒株肆虐，新冠病例死亡总人数逼近500万，健康风险无处不在，成为横在全面复苏道路上的障碍。

"Pandemic outbreaks in critical links of global supply chains have resulted in longer than expected supply disruptions, feeding inflation in many countries," she continued.

与此同时，疫情多点暴发，殃及处于全球供应链关键环节的国家和地区，致使供应链紊乱长于此前预期，进一步抬高部分国家的通胀。