调查人员警告说，夏季的房地产繁荣可能不会持续

调查人员警告说，夏季的房地产繁荣可能不会持续

New buyer enquiries are up as a result of the Stamp Duty freeze, but demand is expected to tail off.

由于印花税冻结，新的买家询价有所上升，但预计需求将减少。

Housing market activity picked up in July as the stamp duty cut boosted demand but surveyors are uncertain how long the summer boom will last.

由于印花税下调提振了需求，7月份房地产市场活动有所回升，但调查者不确定夏季的繁荣能持续多久。

The stamp duty holiday played a significant role in lifting homebuyer demand, according to the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) July market report.

根据皇家特许测量师学会(RICS) 7月市场报告，印花税假期在提振购房者需求方面发挥了重要作用。

New buyer enquiries were up on the previous month, rising from a net balance of 61 in June to 75 in July.

新的买家询盘数量较上月有所上升，从6月份的61个净差额升至7月份的75个。

Agreed sales also increased from 43 in June to a net balance of 57 in July.

协议销售额也从6月份的43家增加到7月份的57家。

Meanwhile 57% of surveyors said they had seen growth in new valuation instructions, up from 41% in June.

与此同时，57%的调查人员表示，他们看到新的估值指令有所增长，高于6月份的41%。

An increase in house prices was reported by 12% of respondents during July, a notable change from June’s -13%.

有12%的受访者表示，7月份房价上涨，较6月份的-13%有明显变化。

Over the next 12 months, 8% of respondents expect prices to rise.

8%的受访者预计未来12个月房价将上涨。

Despite the strength of the summer market, RICS said some surveyors had suggested the housing market would experience a “boom followed by a bust”.

尽管夏季市场表现强劲，但RICS表示，一些测量师曾暗示，房地产市场将经历“繁荣之后的萧条”。

Some 26% of valuers said they expected a growth in sales over the next three months, however, –10% predict sales “tailing off” over the next year once the furlough scheme ends in October and the stamp duty holiday expires in March.

约26%的估价师表示，他们预计未来三个月的销售额会有增长，然而，10%的估价师预测，一旦10月份休假计划结束，3月份印花税假期到期，明年的销售额将“逐渐减少”。

Simon Rubinsohn, chief economist at RICS, said: “The strong impetus provided to the housing market is evident both in the results of the RICS survey and many of the anecdotal comments from respondents.

RICS首席经济学家西蒙•鲁宾逊表示:“从RICS的调查结果和许多受访者的坊间评论中，都可以明显看出房地产市场受到的强劲推动。”

“However, it is interesting that there remains rather more caution about the medium-term outlook with the macro environment, job losses and the ending or tapering of government support measures for the sector expected to take their toll.”

“然而，有趣的是，由于宏观环境、失业以及政府对金融业支持措施的结束或缩减，人们对中期前景仍持更为谨慎的态度，这些预计将造成负面影响。”